Forecasting

The Diploma result is decided at selection.So forecast it at selection.

A student's package determines their ceiling long before their first DP lesson. Course Selector turns every confirmed selection into a score forecast, for the student, for the family conversation, and for the cohort your leadership answers for.

Try it

Move a grade. Watch the forecast.

A simplified version of the forecast engine. In the product, the estimates come from test evidence and teacher judgement, not sliders, and each carries a stated confidence level.

Set indicative grades

The real forecast is built from test scores, teacher judgement and calibrated grade-inflation adjustment. Here, just nudge the numbers.

SLEnglish A: Lang & Lit
5
SLLanguage B
5
HLEconomics
6
HLBiology
5
HLMathematics AA
5
SLVisual Arts
6

DP score forecast

34
/ 45

range 31 to 36

024 · diploma threshold45
On track for the diploma at this package.

Includes an estimated 2 core points. Every forecast is stored, then checked against real results two years later. The model gets sharper every cycle.

Per student

Low, mid and high total-score estimates, subject-by-subject expected grades, core points, and a stated confidence level based on how much evidence sits behind each subject.

Per cohort

The coordinator sees the distribution before Year 1 begins: how many students forecast 38+, who sits near the diploma threshold, and where intervention now changes outcomes later.

Grade-inflation aware

Teacher predictions run optimistic everywhere. The model applies a calibrated adjustment, so the forecast reflects likely results, not hopeful ones.

The calibration loop

We mark our own homework. In public.

Two years after each forecast, the real results go in. Every forecast is scored against its actual: within range or not, and by how much. Your school sees its own accuracy figures, and the model sharpens with every cycle.

1

Forecast stored

Locked at confirmation, with model version and confidence recorded.

2

Results entered

Actual DP scores recorded when they arrive, per subject and total.

3

Accuracy scored

Deviation measured, within-range rate reported, model recalibrated.

No other part of school life would accept predictions that are never checked. Neither do we.

See the whole product in one conversation.

Founding beta schools get founding terms, direct roadmap input, and a guided first cycle.